Philadelphia Phillies 2012 Offseason Recap and Preview

I know I haven’t been watching baseball for THAT long compared to most people, but I can’t remember a team ever living up to the hype set in the preseason so quietly as the Phillies did last season. Their roatation was by far the best in the Majors:

 

Grade: C

 

Notable Additions:

20120219-062932.jpg
Laynce Nix, Jonathan Papelbon, Juan Pierre, Joel Piñeiro, Chad Qualls, Jim Thome, Ty Wigginton, and Dontrelle Willis.

 

Notable Subtractions:

20120219-064119.jpg
Danys Baez, Jack Cust, Raul Ibañez, Brad Lidge, Ryan Madson, Roy Oswalt, and Wilson Valdes.

 

Why?: I know that it may seem like a no-brainer to some people that the Phillies got better this offseason. However, once I actually looked at the list of names, they really added no value to their team at all, and you know what? They didn’t have to. This team won 102 games last season and that was WITH a ten game losing streak down the stretch. I distinctly remember tweeting something along the lines of “Whoa, the Phillies have won 97 games and still have 12 games to play?!” (this was amid their ginormous losing streak). So, they could still most likely win the division by just treading water and waiting for Ryan Howard to come back from the DL.

Predicted Record Range: 95-100 wins

 

Next Up:

19 Comments

BREWERS TODAY (5 comments up)- They did have a consistent bullpen during the playoffs, but when I was going to games in which they were involved in June, they were in a volatile stretch.

QUINN- I *can* see them in second place, but I can also see them in fourth place, if you know what I mean. Both the Braves and the Nationals have room for improvement that rivals what the Marlins added in the offseason, as they have really good young players who are either getting better, or still in the minor leagues.

That is true with the Marlins, but I can see them coming in 2nd place though.
-Quinn from nybisons
http://www.nybisons.mlblogs.com

JEFF- I agree with you that the Phillies are the team to beat. The Cardinals analogy however… I do agree that the Cardinals didn’t have that great of a rotation, but they also got a divine intervention and a half. I was in Washington for the second to last series of the year, in the bleachers to be more specific. I overheard an argument between a Nationals fan and a Braves fan. The end of which was the Nationals fan saying to the Brave fan: “nothing would please me more than to knock you guys out of the playoffs.” My first reaction was, “yeah right”, because all it would take for the Braves to make the playoffs would be 2 either Braves wins or Phillie losses in the last five games. Then they beat the two favorites in the NL, AND beat the seemingly “destined” team in the AL.

QUINN- I don’t know about the Marlins just because they were so far behind last year and I don’t think even all of their additions close this gap completely, I see them competing behind the Phillies with the Braves and possibly the Nationals for second place.

DJPOSTL- I completely agree with everything you said there. I would even goes so far as to say that Heath Bell is a notch above Papelbon as a closer. I really would have preferred (As GM) to sign Madson, because he is also getting better, whereas Papelbon CAN be really good, but you’re less sure of it.

This team will once again make a run at 95-100 wins just because of its starting rotation. But…

The Papelbon deal was just bad. Just plain bad. In a market glutted with closers they paid twice as much on him as the Marlins did on Heath Bell and there is very little difference between the two.

In the end they couldn’t resign Oswalt, as they appeared to have wanted to do but couldn’t shed enough $$ to make it happen.

Madson could have returned on a one year deal if they were patient and they would have had more resources to address other needs.

I think the Marlins are going to win the division with all of the players they got over the offseason.
-Quinn from nybisons
http://www.nybisons.mlblogs.com

Still the team to beat in the NL. Their starting rotation alone should put them at the top, but the Cardinals proved that it takes more than just a strong staff on paper to win it all.
–Jeff

The Cardinals not only showed a good starting rotation and a solid bullpen. I think one of the main reasons they were able to beat the Brewers and the Rangers was the consistency of the bullpen.
Brewers Today- http://brewerstoday.wordpress.com/

Not AS bad, anyway.

I guess that sort of happened with me too. The Rangers are my FAVORITE team, or second favorite, but they are in that second tier of teams for me.

So, I guess it’s not that bad then if he goes to your second favorite team.
-Quinn from nybisons
http://www.nybisons.mlblogs.com

Aww man, that IS a bummer. That sort of happened to me with Joe Nathan in that he is my favorite closer, was on my favorite team in the Twins, and I had his jersey.

I know, doesn’t stuff like that stink? I am happy that he went to my 2nd favorite team though.
-Quinn from nybisons
http://www.nybisons.mlblogs.com

I was really mad when he signed with the Philles because the Sox are my favorite team and I had a jersey of him and yeah it was a bummer for me.
-Quinn from nybisons
http://www.nybisons.mlblogs.com

I do think it was a good idea for them to sign him insofar as they lost both Lidge and Madson, but Papelbon has been fairly inconsistent as a closer and wouldn’t reccomend him over most other closers.

So I really started subtracting wins from 104-5. If I started from 102, the range would probably be lower.

Gotcha. Do u think it was a good idea for them to get Papelbon?
-Quinn from nybisons
http://www.nybisons.mlblogs.com

Thanks. My whole thing when looking at their predicted win total is the fact that they probably would have won 105+ games if they were still competing for something, so they should still do pretty well even with the losses.

That is true right there.
-Quinn from nybisons
http://www.nybisons.mlblogs.com

Very good review of the Phillies. I agree with your grade for them. The Phillies are my 2nd favorite team but i don’t think they will do that good this year.
-Quinn from nybisons
http://www.nybisons.mlblogs.com

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