Cincinnati Reds 2012 Offseason Recap and Preview

Things definitely regressed for the Reds a year after winning the NL Central by a comfortable margin:

 

Grade: C-

 

Notable Additions:

Mat Latos, Andrew Brackman, Ryan Madson, Sean Marshall, and Dioner Navarro.

 

Notable Subtractions:

Francisco Cordero, Yonder Alonso, Ramon Hernandez, Edison Volquez, Dontrelle Willis, and Travis Wood.

 

Why?: I just matched up all the additions and subtractions, and it looked like, in my opinion, that the Reds did add some big names, but the people they lost were marginally better (for this upcoming  year). The two main examples are Volquez for Latos and Madson for Cordero.

 

I think that the Reds package sent to the Padres will be marginally better than Latos, because Volquez is on his way back up from the Tommy John surgery a few years ago ( I believe it was Tommy John, but I’m not 100% sure). He may still return to his form of 17 wins in. This was his only season where he has pitched in more than 20 games. This shows that if he is healthy, he has shown he can pitch. Latos’ struggles as of late, on the other hand, come from over-usage. Therefore, from my experience in seeing over-used pitchers, his struggles will mildly continue into 2012, because he has to get back into the rhythm of pitching. He may not, in which case all of this is null and void, but he probably will. Also, Volquez will be going to PETCO Park while Latos now gets to call the Great American Launch Pad his home. That said, once Latos does get over his <insert clever over-usage pun here> syndrome, I think he will be better than the Volquez group, but I think he won’t until after 2012, so I have Volquez and package being better than Latos this year.

 

Madson for Cordero is a bit more complicated. I think that Madson may be better than Cordero and it definitely was good to get rid of Cordero before he starts declining, but Cordero has been one of the most consistently excellent closers over the last half-decade, while Madson only has a year of closing experience. I do like Madson over Cordero, but I think the Reds would have been better served letting him go to another team for a year and getting what I think is the last good year before he really declines from Cordero, and letting Madson mature for another year and become a better closer. Either that or sign Madson to a multi-year deal, because I see Madson’s price tag only going up after this season. The only reason I could see them signing Madson to a one-year deal is if they think this is their last year of contention before Joey Votto leaves, either via trade in 2013 or free agency in the 2013-14 offseason.

 

Other than this, I don’t know what to say. Last year, I predicted their youth to be an advantage, and I got burned because they actually regressed a little. I guess I’ll just say that their youth gives them room for growth again and hope it actually does this year.

 

Predicted Record Range: 82-87 wins

 

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2 Comments

I did like the Brewers winning last season, but they also had something special going on. Of the teams in serious contention, I would like to see the Reds make it. My reason, however, would be that I really liked how the 2010 season played out. I also don’t have a particular affinity nor bias towards the Cardinals, but I don’t think they are any where near the level of Yankee-ness as far as winning the division is concerned. The last year they weren’t in the playoffs before 2008 was before I was born. That said, I don’t like the Reds winning the division easily at all for the reasons I mentioned above this year…Actually, just wait for the Cardinals entry, because i haven’t looked into them enough yet.

I’d really like to see the Reds take the NL Central again. Not that I didn’t enjoy watching the Brewers in the playoffs. But I get sick and tired of the Cardinals always winning. They’re like the Yankees of the Central Division. But I think after Pujols and Tony LaRussa leaving, it will be a different ball game for Cardinals Nation! BWAHAHAHAHAHHA!!!

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